
Blizzard Warning Includes Washington DC 20-30" of snow expected !

20 TO 30'' EXPECTED IN DC/10-20" IN PHILLY/2-4"NYC FOR 4-8" BROOKLYN
WASHINGTON DC WILL LIKLEY SEE 20 TO 30 inches + with blowing and drifting snow and a Blizzard Warning is in effect tonight into Saturday!!! Â First of all, a mix of light rain and light snow is falling all over the plains and midwest Thursday Feb 4th. Â As Friday the 5th rolls around, colder air moves in and 1 to as much as 3″ of snow is possible with isolated amounts to 4″. Â Winter Weather Advisories(purple shades on the map below) are in effect from SE Montana to Eastern Kansas, Most of Missouri and part of IL.
A large storm system will be moving across the central U.S., St. Louis will likely see 1 to 4″ by Friday evening.

1 to 4" of Snow in Purple/ Red Areas in NJ & DL have BLIZZARD WARNINGS
SWITCHING THE FOCUS TO THE EAST COAST: ONE OF THE WORST WINTER WEATHER WARNINGS YOU CAN BE UNDER IS A BLIZZARD WARNING ! Â Washington DC, PARTS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE ARE UNDER A BLIZZARD WARNING, SHADED IN RED FROM DC to ATLANTIC CITY TO LONG BEACH ISLAND, NJ. PHILADELPHIA HAS A WINTER STORM WARNING WITH SOME HEAVY SNOW IN THE FORECAST.

A COASTAL STORM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY/RED SHADES=BLIZZARD
Watching the exact track of this dangerous winter storm and timing is very important. Â A shift in the track further north would result in a widespread significant snowfall for NYC and a Winter WEATHER ADVISORY has been posted Friday Evening into Saturday, AND A WINTER STORM WARNING JUST SOUTH OF NEW YORK CITY AND very heavy snow is very likely around Atlantic City.
Computer models as of Thursday afternoon are predicting the amounts below for Friday night into Saturday:
New York City: Â One is predicting 2″, another 0 to a trace, and another 4″. Â ( This could change with a jog to the north) NOTE: WEATHER COMPUTER MODELS AS OF FRIDAY EARLY: NOW ONE SAYS 1″, ANOTHER STILL SAYS HARDLY ANY, AND A THIRD STILL SAYS 8″ !!! Â A WINTER STORM WATCH IS STILL POSTED FOR MANHATTAN, ALL 5 BOROUGHS AND LONG ISLAND.
Atlantic City: Â One is predicting 8″+, another 6″+, and still another 8″+. Â A Blizzard Warning is in effect with higher wind expected, blowing and drifting the heavy snow. Â THURSDAY WEATHER COMPUTER MODELS – 12″ FOR ATLANTIC CITY, 6″ ON THE NAM, AND 8″+ on another. Â FRIDAY MORNING MODELS SAY 8-12″.
Philadelphia: Â 3 weather computer models are predicting 8″ and a Winter Storm Warning is in effect. Â THURSDAY COMPUTER MODELS SAY 12″ FOR PHILLY, 8″ AT THE VERY LEAST ON 2 OTHERS. Â AS OF FRIDAY MORNING THE COMPUTER MODELS FORECAST 8-10″ ON AVERAGE.
Washington DC: one computer model is predicting 6″, another 10″, and still another up to a foot. Â A Winter Storm Warning is in effect. Â NEWER COMPUTER MODELS SAY 12″ IN DC, 10″ ON THE 2 OTHERS. Â A BLIZZARD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT WITH 20 TO 30 INCHES EXPECTED AND BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW!!
Sussex Co. NJ: Â One computer model is predicting 4″, another SAYS 4″ and still another 2″. Â NEWER COMPUTER MODELS LOWER THE AMOUNTS A BIT IN SUSSEX CO. STILL SNOWY!
Islip, NY(central Long Island): one computer model is predicting 1″ and another 4″, still another 0 to a trace. (No Advisories as of Thursday afternoon) Feb. 4th. Â A WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR LONG ISLAND AND THE NEWER COMPUTER MODELS SAY 3″ AT ISLIP, ONE STILL SHOWS NOT MUCH, ANOTHER IS NOW SHOWING 6″ AND WINDY.

January 30th Snow Event Totals, Ending 7 am Jan. 31st, 2010/DC & Maryland

More Snow From Washington DC to Baltimore/Philly & Atlantic City
District of Columbia Snow Totals: Â as of 9:05 am on 1/31/10 5″ at the National Arboretum and 4″ Logan Circle. Â Maryland: Annapolis 7.5 on Jan. 30th and 5.5″ Near Baltimore Washington International Airport.
A Winter Storm Warning for 3 to 6″ of snow was up for Washington DC, Gaithersburg, Leesburg and Fairfax until the morning of Feb 3rd, 2010. Â A Winter Weather Advisory is up until the morning of Feb. 3rd for 2 to 4″ of snow from Philadelphia to Atlantic City. Â Light Snow will also be a problem in New York City for the morning commute on Feb. 3rd. 1 to 2″ of snow is expected. Â Snow is likely again on Friday Night into Saturday.

GFS Weather Forecast Model Feb. 3rd/ Jet Stream in Blue and Purple
The Jet Stream is a very fast river of air in the upper levels of the atmosphere and in the GFS weather model below, it is the blue and purple area or the Jet Stream, that dives north to south off of the California coast and the purple area is called a Jet Max with over 150 mph wind that steers the storm systems away from the Northwest.  This week and into the weekend, Seattle will only see occasional weak weather systems with lighter rain at times.  California will continue with the risk of showers from time to time and cool weather.  New York City will continue chilly with the occasional risk of some snow showers as the main Jet stays mainly south of  Manhattan or directly overhead.  So, below is my forecast for Seattle, Hollywood, and New York City for the first week in Feb.

January 31, ST in Australia Ex-Tropical Cyclone Olga/Monsoons over Queensland
Cairns & The Great Barrier Reef Weather.  Feb 1st 75/89 sunny.  A risk of a shower  Wednesday night otherwise near 90 during the day breezy afternoons and lows in the mid 70s. A better risk of Thunderstorms on Friday and the weekend mixed with sunny breaks.
Sydney’s Forecast: Mostly Sunny Monday Feb. 1st 68/78. Â Tuesday: Partly Sunny 68/77. Â Wednesday: The risk of a thunderstorm 68/75 degrees F. Â More thuder possible Thursday and Friday with highs in the 70s.
HERE’S THE LINK TO THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY:
WEATHER ZONE AU WITH THE COOL WEATHER GRAPHICS: LINK HERE
1ST Week 01/04-01/08       1st)  Q-13  -17 points   2nd) KOMO -23    3rd)  KING, -24    4th)  KIRO -26.  Q had a great week of Forecasting.
2ND Week 01/11-01/15 Â Â Â Â Â Â 1st) KIRO -30 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 2nd)Q-13 -31 Â Â Â Â Â Â 3rd)KOMO -32 Â Â Â 4th) KING Â -38.
3RD Week 01/19-01/22 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 1st) KOMO -32, Â Â Â Â Â Â 2nd) Q-13 Â -36 Â Â Â Â 3rd) KING Â -43 Â Â Â 4th) KIRO Â -47.
4TH Week 01/26-01/30 Â Â Â Â Â Â 1st)KIRO Â -25, Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 2nd) KOMO -26 Â Â Â 3rd) Â KING -27 Â Â Â Â 4th) Q-13 Â -29. (This was almost a 4 way tie).
Since Monday the 4th of January, 2010 I have been comparing OFFICIAL low temperatures and high temperatures to the 4 television stations in the Seattle market. Â I simply look at the highs & the lows & match them with the Official Reading. Â I will continue posting the weekly results. Â Good Luck to all forecasters:) Â Below is the 4th week in progress.
Tuesday’s Official reading on the 26th for Seattle 38/48 & No Rainfall///Q-13: Â 38/52 Â Dead on for the low, -4 high= -4/// KIRO: 38/51 Dead on for the low, -3 high= -3///KING 37/50 Dry -1 low, -2 high= -3///KOMO: 39/48 Dry -1 low, Dead on for high= -1
Wednesday’s Official reading on the 27th for Seattle 35/49 & No Rainfall///Q-13: 38/54, -3 low, -5 high= -8///KIRO: 38/52, -3 low, -3 high = -6///KING: 39/50, -4 low, -1 high=-5///KOMO: 36/50, -1 low, Dead on for high= -1
Thursday’s Official reading Jan. 28th for Seattle  41/55 & Dry Again///Q-13: 38/57, -3 low, -2 high= -5/// KIRO7: 40/53, -1 low, -4 high= -5///KING: 40/51, -1 low, -4 high=-5///KOMO4: 37/49, -4 low, -6 high = off by -10
Friday’s Official reading Jan. 29th for Seattle  44/56 .02″ of Rain///Q-13: 42/53 -2 low, -3 high= -5///KIRO: 42/50 -2 low, -6 high= -8///KING: 40/49 -4 low,-7 high = -11///KOMO4  40/48 -4 low,-8 high= -12
Saturday’s Official reading Jan. 30th for Seattle  43/48 .18″ of Rain ///Q-13:  40/52  -3 low,-4 high= -7///KIRO:  41/49 -2 low, -1 high = -3 ///KING:  41/49  -2 low, -1 high= -3 ///KOMO4:  42/47 -1 low/-1 high= -2
It has been very wet in Western Washington January 2010(5.89″ of Rain in Seattle so far-Normal is 4.33″), and the area has experienced warm temperatures. Â January 2010 may very well go down as the WARMEST on RECORD for Many Locations.
Sea-Tac Airport(Records kept since 1945)
January 2010 through the 25th we have an average of 47.2 degrees. Â 1) 46.6 in 2006 Â 2) 46.4 in 1995 Â 3) 45.7 in 2003 Â 4) 44.9 in

Record Warmth in January in the Pacific Northwest !!
1983 Â 5th) 44.9 Â in 1994
Olympia(Records kept since 1948)
January 2010 through the 25th 43.9 degrees as an average so far  1) 44.0 in 1953  2) 43.3 in 2003  3) 42.9 in 1994  4th) 42.8 in 2006  5th) 42.7 in 1958  (Quillayute has an average of 46.7 through the 25th, and that is a record so far) (Bellingham has an average of 45.9, and that is a record so far) (Hoquiam has an average of 46.9 so far and that is a record so far)
The warmer than normal temperatures are largely attributed to El Nino. Â Even though the snow level in the mountains has been low enough for a great snow pack so far.